Sir Keir Starmer is on course to lose his own seat in North London as he struggles to hold onto power in Downing Street, a bombshell polling aggregator has claimed.
The Prime Minister’s seat of Holborn & St Pancras has been held by Labour since its creation in 1983, but is now being eyed by Zack Polanski’s Green Party.
The damning prediction piles further misery on the embattled Sir Keir, who faced calls to resign by Scottish Labour leader Anas Sarwar on Monday.
Cabinet Ministers quickly united behind the Prime Minister, who then faced crunch talks with Labour MPs later that evening.
While the narrow escape may have provided some reprieve, Electoral Calculus’s predictions for his seat would likely be painful reading for the Prime Minister.
As it stands, Labour has just a 38 per cent chance of holding Holborn & St Pancras at the next election.
Meanwhile, the Green Party was handed a 56 per cent chance of swiping the seat.
Pollsters predicted that every ward would go to Zack Polanski’s party, a feat that was achieved by Labour in the 2024 General Election.
Keir Starmer has been predicted to lose his own north London constutuency
Making up the difference was Nigel Farage’s Reform UK, which held an outside five per cent chance of securing victory.
Sir Keir has represented Holborn & St Pancras since 2015, replacing former Labour Health Secretary Frank Dobson, who had held the seat since its creation.
The seat was previously known as Holborn & St Pancras South and had been formed in the 1950s.
Voters in the leafy London seat have only backed a Conservative candidate once since 1950, with Geoffrey Johnson-Smith claiming victory in 1959.
